Suzuki Cup 2016: Reasons each team left can and can’t win it

The 2016 AFF Suzuki Cup semi-finals are upon us. FourFourTwo looks at why the four teams may progress to the final, and why they may not... 

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Reasons to win:

The wings — Vietnam have full-backs who like to get forward as much as they can. Vu Van Thanh was especially impressive at left-back but the back four can be stretched by width and pace.

Indonesia can play this to their strength. The likes of Andik Vermansyah and Rizky Pora love nothing more to run at defenders and deliver balls into the area. Vietnam's full-backs may have more defending to do than usual.

Familiarity — While Indonesia may have been out of international action for 18 months, there is no team they know better than Vietnam. Coach Alfred Riedl led the Golden Stars to the quarterfinals of the 2007 Asian Cup and is still a regular visitor.

Not only that but there have been two recent friendlies between the two teams. There will be no surprises.


Reasons to lose:

The defence — There is no getting away from the fact that Indonesia are better going forward than attacking. Seven goals were conceded in the group stage, just one less than the other three teams combined.

Either Indonesia change the way they usually play and play a more compact and defensive game or deal with the fact that Le Cong Vinh and others will get chances.

Surprise element gone — The familiarity works both ways. At half-time against Thailand in the opening game, Indonesia were 2-0 down and, most assumed, heading home. Yet they came back.

The Philippines were genuinely surprised by their attacking prowess in the second match and relieved with a 2-2 draw. Singapore were also taken aback. Vietnam will be warier and full of respect.