The FourFourTwo Preview: Man City vs Everton

Premier League | Etihad Stadium | Sat 5 Oct | 12:45pm

Billed as

Inconsistent City host unbeaten Everton as several players face their former club, including Jack Rodwell, Joleon Lescott, Gareth Barry and, erm, Richard Wright.

The lowdown

Wednesday’s meeting with Bayern Munich was humbling for Manchester City, who lost 3-1 yet could have gone down by four or five if the visitors hadn’t decided to play nice for the last half an hour and Alvaro Negredo hadn’t unleashed a strike sweeter than sugar.

MAN CITY FORM

  • Man City 1-3 Bayern (CL)
  • Aston Villa 3-2 Man City (Prem)
  • Man City 5-0 Wigan (LC)
  • Man City 4-1 Man Utd (Prem)
  • Plzen 0-3 Man City (CL)

EVERTON FORM

  • Everton 3-2 Newcastle (Prem)
  • Fulham 2-1 Everton (LC)
  • West Ham 2-3 Everton (Prem)
  • Everton 1-0 Chelsea (Prem)
  • Cardiff 0-0 Everton (Prem)

City were outplayed, out-passed and out-thought, but in Manuel Pellegrini they have a manager who knows how to put such a result in context. His team played poorly, it’s true, but against surely the best team in the world. The match only served to display the current gap in quality between City and Pep Guardiola’s men, not expose a team who will never perform in the Champions League. Certainly the argument to drop the clangerrific Joe Hart has a whiff of baby and bathwater about it.

Manchester City would love a win over Everton to renew confidence, no doubt, but this isn’t make-or-break.

That's not least because of Everton’s own form. Given Roberto Martinez’s keenness to attack even when it seems a risk, few people would have expected his transitional Everton side to make themselves the last team in the Premier League to be beaten this season.

However, they’re attacking with fluidity and have Romelu Lukaku – who has apparently deposed Juan Mata as the world’s best player – to score goals. Even if the Toffees’ defence can melt more easily than actual toffee: they’ve conceded six in their last three matches against Newcastle, Fulham (in the cup) and West Ham. Nice new badge, too.

Team news

Martin Demichelis is sidelined with a dicky knee and Jack Rodwell is still recovering from a muscle strain (the Ouchus Inevitabilus, we think it’s called). For Everton, loanee Gareth Barry is ineligible to face Daddy Manc, Steven Pienaar has a bad case of Demichelis Knee and Antolin Alcaraz got a hernia injury in training.

So far the defender has played 45 minutes of pre-season for Everton, fully justifying the non-existent transfer fee they paid for him. Finally, Darron Gibson and Kevin Mirallas face late fitness tests, hopefully in the style of the final Eliminator in Gladiators. Bring on the travelator!

Player to watch: Romelu Lukaku (Everton)

The man employed to make Jose Mourinho look silly has scored three in two, even if he couldn't remember one of them. For such a strong individual, Lukaku isn’t dominating aerial battles – he won 2 from 6 against Newcastle and only 2 from 8 when facing Manchester City for West Bromwich Albion in a 1-0 defeat last year – but proving more of a fox in the box, which suits Roberto Martinez’s preference to play on the floor.

Last season the Belgian scored 15 of his 17 league goals from inside the box; this term it’s 3 from 3, and his goal against West Ham showed his willingness to throw himself into the thick of the action. The man to stop him will be Belgian countryman Vincent Kompany. He should remember Lukaku’s cameo against City in Albion’s 2-1 defeat last October: the striker played 10 minutes and had 3 shots, all from central positions inside the area, after Shane Long had managed 1 – a goal – in over 80 minutes.

It’ll be interesting to see if Lukaku attempts as many take-ons as he did against Newcastle (7) and West Ham (5, in one half). Kompany won’t stand for that.

LAST FIVE MEETINGS

  • Everton 2-0 Man City (Prem, Mar 13)
  • Man City 1-1 Everton (Prem, Dec 12)
  • Everton 1-0 Man City (Prem, Jan 12)
  • Man City 2-0 Everton (Prem, Sep 11)
  • Everton 2-1 Man City (Prem, May 11)

The managers

The smooth, unflappable Spaniard meets the smooth, unflappable Chilean (pronounced Chil-AY-an, we’re told).

Martinez faces his first big test on the road as Everton manager but won’t be overawed having beaten Chelsea at home – plus, his Wigan side won more matches away than at the DW Stadium last season.

After the Bayern defeat, Pellegrini defended his under-fire goalkeeper as Hart let in two soft goals, and one goal of medium-to-rough consistency. His form of deflecting the blame from Hart was to blame everybody else, saying, “The three goals – I think we can do better, not only the goalkeeper.”

Facts and figures

  • Man City have won just two of their last 12 Premier League meetings with Everton, losing nine.
  • Everton have won 17 Premier League meetings with Manchester City; only against West Ham (19) have they won more often.
  • Everton have the same record after six games as they did in 1986/87, their last title winning season (W3, D3).
  • Man City have scored eight goals from crosses in the Premier League this season; twice as many as the next best side.
  • Manchester City have lost a league-high six points from winning positions in the Premier League this season. They lost only seven points from winning positions in the whole of 2012-13.
  • Manchester City have scored in 53 successive Premier League games at the Etihad Stadium, last failing to score here in November 2010 versus Birmingham City.
  • Everton are the only remaining unbeaten side in the Premier League this season and have won three successive games in the competition.
  • The Toffees have not won four successive games in the Premier League since March 2008.
  • Romelu Lukaku has now scored six goals in his last five Premier League appearances, despite playing only 220 minutes overall in these matches (a goal every 37 mins on average).
  • Edin Dzeko has averaged a goal every 197 minutes in the Premier League at the Etihad Stadium, well below his record away from home in the competition (109 mins).

FourFourTwo prediction

Everton to take advantage of a slightly shellshocked City early on, but Pellegrini to restore order at half time. Score draw. What do you mean, we need a specific scoreline? Pfft... 2-2.

Man City vs Everton LIVE ANALYSIS with Stats Zone


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