Season so far: City, Newcastle, Everton, Pompey & Spurs

We are part of The Trust Project What is it?

This week we’re having a look at the progress being made by the Premier League’s great and good, using information provided to us by our friends at Catalyst, using their PowerTable.

On Monday we looked at the ‘Tier 4’ sides and on Tuesday we assessed the merits of the sides deemed to be in ‘Tier 3’.

This morning we’re, of course, looking at Tier 2, sides which the Catalyst describe as ‘clubs with the potential or ambition to compete at the highest level, but ones that need to achieve breakthrough performance. We’re also told that the gap between Tiers 1 and 2 is the widest, Daniel Levy take note...


Newcastle started the season well, in that they went a whopping two games unbeaten, before embarking on a eight game streak without a win. However they appear to have turned the corner, with two wins in their last two lifting them to 14th.

Despite their recent resurgence, Newcastle are still down in terms of points per game, goals scored and goals conceded this season on the same period of last year. They’ve also had more problems with discipline, with two red cads to their name already this season.

The Magpies have a 0% effectiveness rating against Tier 3 sides, which sadly for them includes local rivals Middlesbrough and Sunderland (who they’ve already lost to) and next opponents, Fulham.

We reckon…
Newcastle are probably more likely to finish in or around the bottom five than the top five, but if they can continue to be as effective against Tier 4 sides (67% so far this season), they shouldn’t be in any major trouble.


Despite all the early season hullaballoo, City have yet to set the Premier League alight this season.

Infact they’re performing worse than last season in terms of goals conceded (1.64 a game this season compared to 1.18 in the same period last year) and points accrued (down 0.82 to 1.18 from last year).

City are only 33% effective against Tier 4 teams so far, combine that with their poor away record and a defeat at Hull next weekend looks a distinct possibility.

We reckon…
City are struggling to beat the top sides (0% effective against Tier 1 so far this season) and haven’t travelled well. This means it’s unlikely they’ll get anywhere near the top four this season, at least not without spending big in January...


Everton endured a slow start to the season, not winning at Goodison until the sixth time of asking.

The Toffees are scoring as regularly as they did in the firs t11 matches of last season (1.36 times a match), but at the other end they’re conceding 0.65 more every 90 minutes.

David Moyes’s side are performing well against Tier 4 sides, with a 83% effectiveness rating from their four matches against those teams so far this term, the same as they scored from all 10 matches last season. They have, however, underperformed against the other sides thus far.

We reckon…
Everton should surge further up the league in the next month, with three matches against Tier 3 and 4 sides followed by a trip to White Hart Lane, where they’ve won in the last two seasons.


Pompey seem to be suffering a post-Redknapp hangover, and are currently four matches without a win.

In the first eleven matches of the season they scored less, conceded more and picked up less points than the first eleven matches of last season, with the drop in goalscoring from 1.73 a game to 1.00 being the most alarming, especially considering Peter Crouch and Jermain Defoe have arrived in the meantime.

All of the Fratton Park side’s league goals have come from the aforementioned strike duo, which may be a problem should one of them be injured (or smuggled out in Harry Redknapp’s swag bag) later in the season.

We reckon…
The next five matches will shape Pompey’s season. Three of which are against Tier 3 sides and two of which are against Tier 4 sides. Take less than eight points and they may face a rough couple of months, although their end of season run-in doesn’t look too daunting.


Amazingly, despite their current bottom place standing in the league, Spurs are performing better than they did in the first 11 matches of last season.

They’ve conceded less, down 0.54 goals a match on last season, and picked up an extra point, taking their average up to 0.82 a game.

And people say Martin Jol was harshly treated?

Their goals per game ratio is down however (from 1.64 a game to just 1.18) unsurprising given that Dimitar Berbatov, Robbie Keane and Jermain Defoe have all been sold in the meantime.

We reckon…
If Spurs can continue their current resurgence under Harry Redknapp, which would incidentally mirror a marked improvement made at the same time last year, there’s no reason why Spurs shouldn’t be able to push for Europe through the league, especially as they’re only six points off seventh place with 27 matches to play. They’ll need to start beating Tier 3 and 2 teams, though.

Teams to come: Tier 1 - Aston Villa, Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea & Man Utd

For the in depth subscribers edition of the PowerTable go to and read more about the Catalyst Power Table in the December issue of FourFourTwo, out now.