Skip to main content
Join The Club
- Join our community
17
Member Features
24/7
Access Available
5K+
Active Members
Live Q&A Sessions
Weekly interactive sessions
Member Competitions
Win exclusive prizes
Exclusive Content
Premium articles & videos
Early Access
First to see new features
Exclusive Newsletters
Football news direct to your inbox
Monthly Rewards
Surprise gifts & perks
GET CLUB ACCESS QUICK
For the quickest way to join, simply enter your email below and get access. We will send a confirmation and sign you up to our newsletter to keep you updated on all your football news.
By submitting your information you agree to the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy and are aged 16 or over.
FIND OUT ABOUT OUR MAGAZINE
Want to subscribe to the magazine? Click the button below to find out more information.
Find out more
Get Club Access Quick

Join The Club for quick access. Enter your email below and we'll send confirmation plus sign you up to our newsletter.

By submitting your information, you confirm you are aged 16 or over, have read our Privacy Policy and agree to the Terms & Conditions. Geographical rules apply.

Background
Welcome to Fourfourtwo club !
Hi ,

Your membership journey starts here.

Keep exploring and earning more as a member.

MY ACCOUNT

Badge picture
Earn your first badge
Complete 1 quiz to unlock your first badge.
Keep earning badges
Explore ways to get more involved as a member.
Football Quizzes

Football Quizzes

Quick quizzes for football fans.

Read Now
Football Crosswords

Football Crosswords

Football-themed crossword challenges.

Read Now

See what you’ve unlocked.

Explore your membership benefits.

Explore
Member Exclusives
Find the subscription that suits you

Find the subscription that suits you

We’ve highlighted the subscriptions our members get the most value from.

Explore

Sign Out
FourFourTwo FourFourTwo FOOTBALL NEWS, FEATURES, QUIZZES
UK EditionUK AU EditionAustralia US EditionUS CA EditionCanada KR Edition대한민국 TR EditionTürkiye
Sign in
  • View Profile
  • Sign out
  • Soccer Cleat Buying Guides
  • Newsletter
  • News
  • Video
  • Features
  • Quizzes
  • Clubs
  • Membership
  • More
    • Interviews
    • Opinion
    • The Magazine Archive
    • Subscribe
    • How to Watch
    • About
    • Lists
FourFourTwo Magazine
FourFourTwo Magazine
Why subscribe?
  • Subscribe today and save 36% PLUS make sure you’re prepared for the season ahead with FourFourTwo’s ultimate guide to the new campaign as a FREE gift!
  • Fascinating feature articles, covering everything from grass-roots football to the international scene
  • 'ACCESS ALL AREAS' pass to exclusive interviews with the biggest and best names in the game!
From$29.99
Save 36%
Subscribe now
Trending
  • 😮 Why there are MAJOR problems at Liverpool
  • 💯 The greatest players of all-time, ranked
  • Ronaldo
  • EPL
  • Interviews
  • Transfers
  • Messi
  1. Competition

Ranked! Every Champions League last-16 team by their chances of winning it

Features
By Alasdair Mackenzie
Published 13 February 2019

When you purchase through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Here’s how it works.

It’s back!

It’s back!

The anthem, the floodlights, the tension… oh, we've missed it?

The Champions League has returned this week with the first knockout clashes, and there are some tasty ties on the agenda.

We’ve cast an expert eye over the remaining teams competing for European football's biggest prize and delivered our verdict on who is most – and least – likely to come out on top come the end of the season...

Page 1 of 17
Page 1 of 17
16. Schalke

16. Schalke

Schalke are on the wrong end of the most one-sided looking encounter in the first knockout stage. It’s hard to see them getting through two legs against Manchester City and, to make matters worse, they aren’t looking likely to find their way back into the Champions League next season given their domestic travails.

At least they managed to sign teenage wide man Rabbi Matondo from the Citizens in January to help them out, as well as Jeffrey Bruma on loan.

Schalke’s home ground, the Veltins-Arena, will host an electric atmosphere in the first leg. Maybe, just maybe, they could edge out City at home and protect their advantage over at the Etihad – but we wouldn’t bet on it.

Page 2 of 17
Page 2 of 17
15. Porto

15. Porto

Porto are just edging Benfica in the battle for the Portuguese league title but lost 2-1 to Roma in their last 16 first leg.

However, a quarter-final spot is probably the furthest stage Sergio Conceicao’s side could hope to reach anyway: by that stage, some of the softer teams in the competition will have been disposed with and an almighty giant-killing would be required.

Page 3 of 17
Page 3 of 17
14. Roma

14. Roma

Roma’s collapses have been frequent this season and the Giallorossi are the only team that made Julen Lopetegui’s Real Madrid side look like world beaters when they met at the Bernabeu.

Eusebio Di Francesco’s tendency to employ a high line against dangerous attacks has often been met with disaster, most recently when they were humiliated 7-1 in a cup tie against Fiorentina.

Despite that, Daniele De Rossi has returned from injury to provide some much-needed leadership and his impact was instant as they put in a good display in a 1-1 draw with Milan. The idea of the veteran lining up alongside Bryan Cristante is an intriguing one.

Page 4 of 17
Page 4 of 17
13. Lyon

13. Lyon

A team that should be appreciated more than they are, Lyon won four points from two group stage clashes with Manchester City and recently subjected PSG to their first league defeat of the season.

Nabil Fekir is an exciting player and the Ligue 1 side will hope he can cause Barcelona as many issues as he did to City, given the two team’s similar styles.

However, as impressive as Lyon are, there do appear to be a dozen better-equipped teams ahead of them.

Page 5 of 17
Page 5 of 17
12. Ajax

12. Ajax

Supporters across the continent have been drawn to Ajax’s talented young team this season after they fought tooth and nail with Bayern Munich in the group stage.

In Barcelona-bound Frenkie de Jong and Matthijs de Ligt they have two of European football’s most exciting prospects, and the former has shown the capability to escape the high press that Santi Solari has recently implemented at Real Madrid.

However, the Dutch side are facing the reigning European champions at a bad time after Real's recent revival, and their 6-2 slapping against Feyenoord at the end of January wasn’t a good omen.

Page 6 of 17
Page 6 of 17
11. Manchester United

11. Manchester United

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has been in charge for long enough now to confirm that the upturn in United’s form under his leadership is no fluke, but Manchester United now face a huge uphill struggle after losing their first leg 2-0 at home to PSG.

A great optimist might point at PSG’s weakness in the centre of midfield for the second leg, which is where United are strongest. Paul Pogba, Ander Herrera and Nemanja Matic have been playing well and will need to go even better at the Parc des Princes.

Page 7 of 17
Page 7 of 17
10. Tottenham

10. Tottenham

Dortmund was a tough draw for Spurs after they came within touching distance of dumping Juventus out of the Champions League at this stage last season, only to be undone by a five-minute blackout.

Mauricio Pochettino’s side must press more effectively against the Bundesliga leaders than they did against Barcelona, where they lost shape defensively. Dortmund are a terrifying proposition in transition and will take advantage of any lapses in concentration.

Page 8 of 17
Page 8 of 17
9. Bayern Munich

9. Bayern Munich

Bayern have struggled defensively this season and, facing a multitude of injuries, a two-legged tie with Liverpool is a daunting prospect.

However, Jurgen Klopp’s side could be distracted by the intensity of their Premier League title race, while the atmosphere in the Munich dressing room has improved lately. It's helped them narrow the gap behind leaders Dortmund to five points, while coach Niko Kovac’s relationship with James Rodriguez has been repaired. A chance? For sure.

Page 9 of 17
Page 9 of 17
8. PSG

8. PSG

PSG have become characterised by their Champions League failures, but they impressed with a mightily mature display at Old Trafford minus Neymar and Edinson Cavani. Some critics would say the Ligue 1 champs are better off without their Brazilian talisman anyhow.

Kylian Mbappe can carry the baton in his older team-mate's stead, as the young Frenchman showed with a fine goal that could prove to be the difference against Manchester United.

Tougher tests will certainly await the Parisians, who collapsed so humiliatingly against Barcelona in 2016/17, and it's yet to be determined just how disciplined they can be.

Page 10 of 17
Page 10 of 17
7. Atletico Madrid

7. Atletico Madrid

Impressively, Atleti have the best defensive record in La Liga this season despite losing Lucas Hernandez, Diego Godin, Jose Jimenez and Stefan Savic to injury for a big part of the campaign.

That is testament to their incredible organisation, but at the other end of the pitch things haven't gone quite so smoothly; Antoine Griezmann has shouldered most of the attacking burden.

Diego Costa has faded and you never know what you’re going to get from Alvaro Morata – will we see the brilliant striker who faced Bayern in 2016, or the confidence-stripped man of recent months?

Page 11 of 17
Page 11 of 17
6. Borussia Dortmund

6. Borussia Dortmund

Lucien Favre has got Dortmund playing their best football in years – a fun and fast game that can, however, mean they might sacrifice a three-goal lead occasionally, like they did at the weekend against Hoffenheim.

Frantic counter-pressing and plenty of overloads are to be expected, with the entire squad backing Favre’s vision.

The Bundesliga leaders tore Atletico Madrid’s famously well-drilled defence apart during the group stage, smashing four goals in Diego Simeone’s heaviest defeat at the club. Mauricio Pochettino has his work cut out.

Page 12 of 17
Page 12 of 17
5. Real Madrid

5. Real Madrid

Surely they can’t pull off four in a row? But Madrid have woken up recently, with Luka Modric finally resembling the player who shone at the World Cup again, and Karim Benzema and Vinicius Jr showing devastating form in attack.

However, the absence of Cristiano Ronaldo will be keenly felt: he provided not only goals, but also valuable leadership that helped the team when they were up against it.

If Benzema’s goals dry up, it’s hard to see where else they’re going to come from. Madrid make it into the top five here thanks to their pedigree, recent revival and the eight Ballon d’Or nominees they boast in their squad – but this time they aren’t the favourites.

Page 13 of 17
Page 13 of 17
4. Barcelona

4. Barcelona

It’s been a strange season for Barça, who lead La Liga rae and qualified for the Champions League knockout stages without difficulty, but are still clearly struggling with some vulnerabilities.

They were unnerved by Real Madrid’s pressing in their recent Copa del Rey clash and conceded possession sloppily, meaning Lyon could fancy their chances in the last 16.

However, Lionel Messi has once again been extraordinary, Arthur has developed into a clockwork playmaker and Ousmane Dembele is a real attacking threat. They now must ensure they show greater mental strength than they did in last season’s Roma fiasco.

Page 14 of 17
Page 14 of 17
3. Manchester City

3. Manchester City

Pep Guardiola’s kryptonite lies further ahead, but City might not need to beat Liverpool to triumph in Europe and they can count on having the easiest of the last 16 draws to buy some time.

The Spaniard can bring Kevin De Bruyne back into his side as he returns to full fitness, as well as welcoming a healthy Benjamin Mendy.

City have managed to work their way back into Premier League title contention and the good thing for Guardiola is that his squad has enough depth to go far in both competitions.

Page 15 of 17
Page 15 of 17
2. Liverpool

2. Liverpool

This is perhaps a strange time to put Liverpool so high up this list, with the Reds recently losing their Premier League lead – albeit with a game in hand – as well as star defender Virgil van Dijk to injury for their clash with Bayern.

If Niko Kovac studies how Napoli and PSG both escaped Liverpool’s press and nullified their attacking trident, the last 16 tie could become very interesting indeed.

However, this remains an immensely talented side that reached the final last year, and Liverpool now have an improved squad. They will be difficult to stop.

Page 16 of 17
Page 16 of 17
1. Juventus

1. Juventus

This is Juve’s big chance after losing two finals over the last four seasons, now that they have serial Champions League winner Cristiano Ronaldo in their ranks.

Massimiliano Allegri is a versatile coach and might need to adapt his team’s style to get through a resilient Atletico Madrid backline.

Alex Sandro and Joao Cancelo will be called upon to get forward and swing crosses towards Ronaldo and Mario Mandzukic, while Miralem Pjanic directs the play from a deep position. If Atleti are conquered, Europe should beware.

Page 17 of 17
Page 17 of 17
TOPICS
Premier League Champions League
Alasdair Mackenzie

Alasdair Mackenzie is a freelance journalist based in Rome, and a FourFourTwo contributor since 2015. When not pulling on the FFT shirt, he can be found at Reuters, The Times and the i. An Italophile since growing up on a diet of Football Italia on Channel 4, he now counts himself among thousands of fans sharing a passion for Ross County and Lazio. 

Latest in Competition
Competition "Sir Alex Ferguson crossed a line, and therein lies the difference between me and him, that’s how he won 13 league titles and I won none" Kevin Keegan on Newcastle United's 1995/96 Premier League challenge 30 years on from the 'Love it' rant
 
 
Brazilian referee Wilton Sampaio shows a red card to South Africa's midfielder #11 Themba Zwane during the 2026 World Cup Group A football match between Mexico and South Africa at the Mexico City Stadium in Mexico City on June 11, 2026. (Photo by Yuri CORTEZ / AFP)
Competition Seven red flags raised by international advisory body over World Cup 2026 betting irregularities
 
 
Jules Breach - Mexico
Competition JULES BREACH: Mexico fully embraced the World Cup and showed how passionate, emotional and seriously loud the fans are
 
 
Celtic boss Martin O'Neill
Competition How to watch Celtic vs AC Milan: Live stream details
 
 
FIFA President Gianni Infantino holds the FIFA World Cup winner's trophy while speaking during the FIFA World Cup 2026 International Broadcast Center Grand Opening ceremony in 2026 in Dallas, Texas
Competition Wheels in motion for 64-team World Cup - and it could happen sooner than you think
 
 
ZURICH, SWITZERLAND - DECEMBER 11: FIFA President Gianni Infantino announces Saudi Arabia as the host of the FIFA World Cup 2034™ during the Extraordinary FIFA Congress 2024 at the Home of FIFA on December 11, 2024 in Zurich, Switzerland. (Photo by Harold Cunningham - FIFA/FIFA via Getty Images)
Competition World Cup 2034: the first expanded version to be held in a single country
 
 
Latest in Features
Harry Kane with his 2026 World Cup bronze medal
Player When will Harry Kane break Peter Shilton's England appearance record?
 
 
FourFourTwo's Weekend Crossword
Quiz FourFourTwo's Weekend Crossword 63: Playmakers, Places and Euro '28
 
 
Competition "Sir Alex Ferguson crossed a line, and therein lies the difference between me and him, that’s how he won 13 league titles and I won none" Kevin Keegan on Newcastle United's 1995/96 Premier League challenge 30 years on from the 'Love it' rant
 
 
Friday Football Quiz
Quiz Friday Football Quiz, episode 125: Can you get 20 correct answers?
 
 
The Ballon d'Or trophy is displayed during a press conference to present the new Ballon d'Or trophy, on the outskirts of Paris, on September 19, 2019. (Photo by Thomas SAMSON / AFP) (Photo credit should read THOMAS SAMSON/AFP via Getty Images)
Quiz Football Quiz! Can you name every Ballon d'Or winner to have won the World Cup?
 
 
Newcastle United mananger Kevin Keegan reacts during the 2-1 Premier League defeat to Blackburn Rovers at Ewood Park on April 8, 1996 in Blackburn, England
Person Why did Kevin Keegan scrap the Newcastle United reserve team in the mid 90s? One of the great man's most controversial moments revisited
 
 
LATEST ARTICLES
  1. Michael Thomas of Arsenal scores the goal to seal the First Division title against Liverpool at Anfield, May 1989
    1
    “The further you get from Arsenal’s title win at Anfield, the more special it becomes, as it’s a game that will never be repeated, a special, special night” Alan Smith on Arsenal’s legendary 1989 title decider
  2. 2
    “I joined Leeds United to babysit my compatriot Phil Masinga, but I ended up staying there for 10 years” Lucas Radebe’s unlikely path to becoming an Elland Road legend
  3. 3
    How to watch Celtic vs AC Milan: Live stream details
  4. 4
    “I worked as a hairdresser before joining Gillingham – it was clattering Steve Bruce that earned me the contract” How Tony Cascarino earned his big break in football
  5. 5
    When will Harry Kane break Peter Shilton's England appearance record?

FourFourTwo is part of Future US Inc, an international media group and leading digital publisher. Visit our corporate site.

Add as a preferred source on Google Add as a preferred source on Google
  • Terms and conditions
  • Contact Future's experts
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies policy
  • Accessibility statement
  • Careers
  • About FourFourTwo
  • Advertise with us
  • Worldwide
  • How to pitch to FourFourTwo

© Future US, Inc. Full 7th Floor, 130 West 42nd Street, New York, NY 10036.

Please login or signup to comment

Please wait...