Supercomputer predicts Champions League winner, with Arsenal and Manchester City given great chances in competition

UEFA Champions League trophy.
(Image credit: Getty Images)

Manchester City have been hotly tipped to retain their UEFA Champions League crown this season.

Pep Guardiola's side are safely through to the last 16 stage and will face Danish outfit FC Copenhagen across two legs, bidding to seek passage to their quarter-finals. Winning six out of six in the group stage, the Cityzens completed a stunning Treble success in 2023 and are once again on the march for further silverware.

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Likeliness of clubs progressing to rounds of the Champions League
ClubQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalWinner
Manchester City91.00%65.10%46.20%32.50%
Real Madrid73.80%50.10%31.20%17.90%
Inter Milan62.30%37.30%21.80%12.10%
Bayern Munich77.30%42.60%20.80%10.10%
Arsenal66.90%34.40%16.30%7.60%
Paris Saint-Germain58.50%29.70%13.00%4.80%
Barcelona58.50%23.30%9.00%2.80%
Atletico Madrid37.70%17.50%6.50%2.40%
Borussia Dortmund57.30%22.80%8.80%2.30%
PSV42.70%15.40%5.10%1.80%
Real Sociedad41.50%16.60%6.30%1.30%
RB Leipzig26.20%10.40%3.90%1.10%
Porto33.10%12.40%4.00%1.10%
Napoli41.50%13.30%4.00%1.00%
Lazio22.70%7.10%2.70%0.90%
Copenhagen9.00%2.00%0.40%0.30%

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Matthew Holt

Bio: Matthew is a freelance journalist and has currently racked up bylines for Manchester United, Manchester Evening News, GOAL and SPORTbible to name a few. A long-term sufferer of Scunthorpe United, he currently resides in the north-west after escaping the smog of North Lincolnshire.