Leeds United want it more than Chelsea this weekend and that alone makes them FA Cup favourites

When Chelsea and Leeds United walk out under the Wembley arch in the FA Cup semi-final this Sunday, pundits will quite rightly point to the disparity in the two sides' respective trophy cabinets.

On paper, it's a mismatch. The past two decades have been kind to the Blues from a silverware perspective, whilst for Leeds, it's been a long road back and a pair of second tier titles to parade through the city.

For the Whites, though, the squad's collective lack of major honours could prove to be their most dangerous weapon.

Leeds want it more than Chelsea side sleepwalking to FA Cup exit

Chelsea have hit the managerial reset button once again. The underlying narrative is one of a squad that is 'on the beach', to use Premier League parlance synonymous with the Barclays era, which is bizarre given how much is still at stake.

FourFourTwo understands the Chelsea dressing room is one that had been suffering from tactical fatigue. Liam Rosenior had reportedly overwhelmed the squad with a volume of meetings that would make a corporate auditor blush *chortles in posh*.

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Contrast this with the atmosphere at Elland Road where Daniel Farke has guided Leeds to their first major domestic semi-final since 1987. Meanwhile, the team are so very nearly homeward bound in their fight against relegation.

We'll call it the 'want-it-more factor'. That was especially evident in the recent 2-1 league win over arch-rivals Manchester United at Old Trafford and threatens to take an apathetic Chelsea side to task on Sunday.

When you look at the respective starting line-ups, there's a stark experience gap that perversely favours the bookmakers' underdog.

In the probable Chelsea XI, 10 of eleven starters are already seasoned semi-finalists. Having, erm, 'conquered the world' at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, the likes of Enzo Fernandez and Wesley Fofana have already stood on the loftiest podiums (Enzo actually has, as a World Cup winner).

To them, an FA Cup semi-final could start to feel like another day at the office, particularly if you haven't really been feeling your new, less-than-experienced manager or the caretaker who's replaced him. There's a school of thought which suggests Chelsea might view Sunday's semi as a secondary chore in a season where the primary goal is qualifying for the Champions League.

Leeds, meanwhile, are a squad largely made up of cup novices.

Of their expected starting XI, only four - Dominic Calvert-Lewin, James Justin, Jayden Bogle and Noah Okafor - have ever breathed the rarified air of a major domestic final four. For the other seven, including defensive stalwarts like Pascal Struijk and Jaka Bijol, this is among the biggest matches of their professional careers.

Yes, there are some who've played in an Austrian Cup semi, the Championship play-offs or the Nations League final four, but we're talking exclusively about competitions that have been around for yonks - and are universally respected, like the FA Cup.

Leeds' players are fighting for a legacy, for a club that has waited 39 years for this moment. It's a jaded, possibly complacent, elite taking on the plucky, hungry outsider. Who's your money on?