This is the only way Chelsea can qualify for next season's Champions League

Chelsea owner Todd Boehly
Chelsea owner Todd Boehly looks set to see his side miss out on the Champions League (Image credit: Getty Images)

Chelsea's Premier League season has imploded spectacularly over the past two months.

The Blues were fifth in the table after winning 4-1 at Aston Villa on Wednesday, March 4, just three points behind third-place Manchester United.

Chelsea's last hope of Champions League qualification this season

Chelsea manager Liam Rosenior puts his hand to his head during the defeat to Everton

Liam Rosenior was sacked as Chelsea manager last month (Image credit: Getty Images)

The Blues' horrific form led to the sacking of manager Liam Rosenior last month, with Calum McFarlane installed as interim head coach until the end of the season.

The Scot led Chelsea to a 1-0 win over Leeds United in the FA Cup semi-final in his first game and has the chance to claim silverware against Manchester City in the final on May 16.

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - JANUARY 04: Calum McFarlane, interim head coach of Chelsea, during the Premier League match between Manchester City and Chelsea at Etihad Stadium on January 04, 2026 in Manchester, England. (Photo by James Gill - Danehouse/Getty Images)

Calum McFarlane is Chelsea's interim head coach (Image credit: Getty Images)

Winning the FA Cup would see the West London club qualify for next season's Europa League, but that would still be viewed as a failure by an ownership group that want regular Champions League football.

With the gap to fifth-place Villa now 10 points with three games remaining, Chelsea's hopes of playing in Europe's top club competition in 2026/27 appear to be over - however there is one way that they can still qualify.

Unai Emery's side face Forest in the second leg of their Europa League semi-final on Thursday and Blues fans should be rooting for them to go all the way and lift the trophy.

That is because if Villa finish fifth and win the Europa League, their Champions League qualification place will be passed down to the team in sixth.

Chelsea would still have work to do to benefit from that scenario, as they are currently four points behind sixth-place Bournemouth - who are on a 15-game unbeaten run in the Premier League.

Aston Villa are finally off the mark in the Premier League after beating Fulham

Aston Villa hold the key to Chelsea's Champions League hopes (Image credit: Getty Images)

However, it should provide some motivation that their hopes of Champions League qualification are not completely over.

This scenario can only play out if Villa finish fifth, as if they win the Europa League and end the season fourth then only the top five in the Premier League would qualify for the Champions League. This is due to UEFA rules involving the European Performance Spot (EPS), which is the extra Champions League place given to the Premier League due to their strong results on the continent.

Chelsea have three tough fixtures to end the league season, with trips to Liverpool and Sunderland sandwiching a home game against relegation-threatened Tottenham Hotspur.

Freelance writer

James Roberts is a freelance sports journalist working for FourFourTwo and other titles. He started his career at the Oxford Mail, where he covered Oxford United home and away, before becoming a sports sub-editor for various national newspapers.

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