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The 'Group of Death': What's the worst-possible World Cup draw for England and Scotland?

England manager Thomas Tuchel
England head coach Thomas Tuchel will be anxiously awaiting next month's World Cup draw (Image credit: Getty Images)

It is one of the great talking points in the run up to every major tournament: which group is the 'Group of Death'?

England have been dealt a rough hand in previous World Cup draws, most recently at Brazil 2014 when they were lumped with Italy, Uruguay and Costa Rica - and promptly finished bottom of the group, with their flight home booked after only two games.

What could England's 'Group of Death' look like?

A general view of the FIFA World Cup before the UEFA Preliminary Draw for the FIFA World Cup 26 at the Home of FIFA on December 13, 2024 in Zurich, Switzerland.

The World Cup draw will take place on December 5 in Washington DC (Image credit: Harold Cunningham - FIFA/FIFA via Getty Images)

The two nations will discover their three group-stage opponents on December 5, when the draw takes place in Washington DC.

This edition of the tournament is the first to boast 48 countries, up from 32, and they will be split into four pots of 12. Each group will consist of one team from each pot, resulting in 12 groups of four teams.

England saw off Albania 2-0 at Wembley thanks to goals from Myles Lewis-Skelly and Harry Kane

England were one of the first sides to book their place at the tournament, thanks to a perfect qualifying campaign (Image credit: Getty Images)

In total, 42 of the 48 participating teams have been confirmed, with the remaining six places going to the winners of the European and inter-confederation play-offs, which take place next March and include Wales, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland.

It is unclear whether the six play-off winners will be automatically placed in pot four, or if they will be seeded based on the highest-ranked team in each path.

The latter scenario appears most likely, so let's tackle that one first.

England are fourth in the FIFA rankings so are expected to be in pot one, with up to two European nations allowed in each group and only one from the other federations.

It means a 'Group of Death' for the Three Lions could consist of play-off semi-finalists Italy - who, if they qualify, would likely be placed in pot two in this scenario - Egypt and Saudi Arabia.

Alessandro Bastoni of Italy looks on as Gennaro Gattuso Head coach of Italy reacts with Riccardo Calafiori of Italy after Moise Kean of Italy scored to give the side a 1-0 lead during the FIFA World Cup 2026 qualifier match between Italy and Estonia at Stadio di Bergamo on September 05, 2025 in Bergamo, Italy.

Gennaro Gattuso's Italy could be an awkward opponent if they make it through the play-offs (Image credit: Jonathan Moscrop/Getty Images)

England fans will need no reminding of their most recent meeting with Italy at a major tournament. The teams met in the Euro 2020 final at Wembley, with the Three Lions taking an early lead through Luke Shaw but ultimately falling to defeat on penalties.

Meanwhile, Egypt boast a talented squad which includes Premier League stars Mohamed Salah and Omar Marmoush, while Saudi Arabia showed their capacity to spring a shock by beating eventual winners Argentina in the opening game of the 2022 World Cup.

If the six play-off winners are all placed in pot four, the Italians would again be the toughest opponent in that section, with 2022 semi-finalists Morocco - ranked 11th in the world - and Paraguay arguably the toughest opponents in pots two and three respectively.

Scotland players celebrate on the pitch after the FIFA World Cup 2026 European qualification football match between Scotland and Denmark at Hampden Park in Glasgow on November 18, 2025. Scotland scored two dramatic stoppage-time goals to beat 10-man Denmark 4-2 on Tuesday and reach the World Cup for the first time since 1998. (Photo by ANDY BUCHANAN / AFP)

Scotland qualified for their first World Cup in 28 years with a dramatic win over Denmark (Image credit: Getty Images)

Scotland's 'Group of Death' looks even more daunting, with Steve Clarke's men looking likely to be placed in pot three.

If the places assigned to play-off winners are based on ranking, this could mean they are grouped with Argentina from pot one, Italy and Saudi Arabia - although with the eight best third-place teams progressing to the round of 32, the Scots would still have a decent chance of making it through.

If the play-off winners are placed in pot four, Scotland could be drawn with Argentina, Morocco and Italy - another tough task.

James Roberts is a freelance sports journalist working for FourFourTwo. He has spent the past three years as a sports sub-editor for various national newspapers and started his career at the Oxford Mail, where he covered Oxford United home and away.

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